L.F. BROWN

Just read it

The state of Sharia in Afghanistan

By L.F. Brown
5 October 2004

There was much controversy when Afghanistan’s Chief Justice of the Supreme Court, Fazil Hadi Shinwari, then 73 years of age, placed a ban on cable television last year, due to its content being un-Islamic. It became a good opportunity for critics of what was seen as the threat from Islamists in power in Afghanistan to criticise his qualifications to be in his position, citing article 105 of the 1964 Afghanistan constitution, which included the proviso that the Chief Justice could only be appointed by the king (with President Karzai effectively standing in this position) if he was between the age of 40 and 60, as well as having “sufficient knowledge of jurisprudence, the national objectives, and the laws and legal system in Afghanistan.” The International Crisis Group charged that he had stacked the Supreme Court with hardline judges who, like him, had no secular legal education. And they also feared that “the Afghan justice system has been taken over by hardliners before the Afghan people have had a chance to express their will in a democratic process.”

Mr. Shinwari, a Pashtun (with ethnicity being an important factor in any political appointment - Pashtuns make up 40% of the Afghan population), was appointed Chief Justice in December 2001 by then president Burhanuddin Rabbani, just before the Bonn agreement (the result of a U.N.-sponsored Afghan peace conference after the ousting of the Taliban from power the previous month) was adopted on the 5th of December. Two major outcomes of the Agreement were the establishment of an Afghan Interim Administration for six months (which would be and was replaced by the Afghan Transitional Authority in June 2002 after an emergency Loya Jirga elected Mr. Karzai as its President), as well as the adoption of the ostensibly secular 1964 constitution, subject to the provisions of the Bonn Agreement. After being appointed Chief Justice by the Interim Administration in January 2002, he was again made Chief Justice in June 2002, this time by the Transitional Authority, a position he retains to this day.

Mr. Shinwari was unmoved by the objections directed towards him, defending his qualifications (IWPR, 28 March 2003):

"I think the knowledge I have in Islamic studies and principles is enough for a chief justice," he said. "I will never accept and am not obliged to learn any law or regulation opposing Islamic law." But he acknowledged that "there are some foreign rules and regulations that are similar to Islamic laws, such as human rights, and I will never oppose them."

He also defended his decision (IWPR, 28 March 2003):

"I will never ignore Islamic principles for the sake of anyone. And I would oppose anything that leads society to non-Islamic actions." He said he decided to ban cable television after investigating complaints by several people about its un-Islamic content, which included Indian movies and western programmes that showed women in scanty clothes.

The deputy minister of information and culture, Abdul Hameed Mubarez, was not convinced (IWPR, 28 March 2003):

"The chief justice should first of all be acquainted with non-Islamic principles. If he is not, he should have people to give him sound and constructive advice. I am optimistic that the matter will be considered in the new constitution."

I wonder what Mr. Mubarez thought when the new constitution was passed by a Loya Jirga on the 4th of January 2004 and signed into law by Mr. Karzai a few weeks later.

Article 118, dealing with the qualifications of the Supreme Justice (who is to be chosen and can be dismissed by the Afghan President), states that not only isn't there a maximum age for the Chief Justice, but only a “higher education in legal studies or Islamic jurisprudence, as well as expertise and adequate experience in the judicial system of Afghanistan” is required.

And what kind of expertise, indeed, what kind of laws will allowed to be promulgated is vague and circular, inevitably open to conflicts, as these excerpts from the Constitution show:

Article 1

Afghanistan shall be an Islamic Republic, independent, unitary and indivisible state.


Article 2

The sacred religion of Islam is the religion of the Islamic Republic of Afghanistan.
Followers of other faiths shall be free within the bounds of law in the exercise and performance of their religious rituals.


Article 3

No law shall contravene the tenets and provisions of the holy religion of Islam in Afghanistan.

[Article 130 on amendments, notes: “The provisions of adherence to the fundamentals of the sacred religion of Islam and the regime of the Islamic Republic cannot be amended.”]


Article 6

The state shall be obliged to create a prosperous and progressive society based on social justice, preservation of human dignity, protection of human rights, realization of democracy…


Article 7

The state shall observe the United Nations Charter, inter-state agreements, as well as international treaties to which Afghanistan has joined, and the Universal Declaration of Human Rights.
The state shall prevent all kinds of terrorist activities, cultivation and smuggling of narcotics, and production and use of intoxicants.


Article 34

Freedom of expression shall be inviolable.
Every Afghan shall have the right to express thoughts through speech, writing, illustrations as well as other means in accordance with provisions of this constitution.
Every Afghan shall have the right, according to provisions of law, to print and publish on subjects without prior submission to state authorities.
Directives related to the press, radio and television as well as publications and other mass media shall be regulated by the law.


Article 35

To attain moral and material goals, the citizens of Afghanistan shall have the right to form associations in accordance with provisions of the law.

The people of Afghanistan shall have the right, in accordance with provisions of the law, to form political parties, provided that:
1. Their manifesto and charter shall not contravene the Holy religion of Islam, and principals and values enshrined in this constitution;
2. Their organizations and financial resources shall be transparent;
3. They shall not have military or quasi-military aims or organizations; and
4. They shall not be affiliated with foreign political parties or other sources.


And when laws haven’t even be made:

Article 130

In cases under consideration, the courts shall apply provisions of this Constitution as well as other laws.

If there is no provision in the Constitution or other laws about a case, the courts shall, in pursuance of Hanafi jurisprudence, and, within the limits set by this Constitution, rule in a way that attains justice in the best manner.

That is, in pursuance of the rulings of Islamic scholars on Islamic, or Sharia, law, by the courts.

Obviously the views of Mr. Shinwari will have an enormous effect on legal rulings. And some of the precedents he has already set raise serious questions:

* In October 2002, Nina Shea of The Center for Religious Freedom, wrote:

On January 24, for instance, Shinwari had told the international press that under the new government, adulterers would be stoned to death, the hands of thieves amputated, and consumers of alcohol given 80 lashes.

He is also opposed to the practice of Christianity. Reuters quoted him as stating: "The Islamic government, according to sharia, is bound to punish those who get involved in anti-Islamic activities. We can punish them for propagating other religions-such as threaten them, expel them and, as a last resort, execute them." Shinwari told a National Public Radio correspondent that Islam has three essential rules. First, a man should be politely invited to accept Islam; second, if he does not convert, he should obey Islam. The third option, if he refuses, is to "behead him."

Two weeks before his appointment as chief justice, Shinwari reiterated that the nation would continue as an Islamic state under all-encompassing sharia law. According to Agence France Presse, Shinwari insisted there would be no "Western-style government" in Afghanistan: "No one will accept it. Only an Islamic government is acceptable to the Afghan people." The 70-year-old justice had lived in exile for nearly 40 years, mostly in Pakistan, where he taught Islamic law at a madrassa. Decorating the wall above his desk, according to the Associated Press, are a sword and a leather lash for flogging. They were left by the Taliban, but Shinwari keeps them up as symbols of the harsh sharia justice which he also endorses.

Not that Shinwari isn't critical of the Taliban. Indeed, he never misses an opportunity to denounce them as "barbaric" for having carried out stonings and amputations as public spectacles in Kabul's sports stadium, rather than in private. He has faulted them for pressing private doctors, and not special prison doctors, to implement sentences of amputation. He has deplored their rushing hastily to judgment, instead of methodically using appropriate procedures. But Shinwari has never backed away from the extreme sharia punishments, and has repeatedly and publicly asserted that he intends to apply them in the supreme court he now heads. "We are not eager to execute criminals or chop off heads," he recently told the Washington Post, "but if all the conditions are fulfilled, [it] is required."

In an absolute sharia state, only the judiciary holds power. Iran's President Khatami has repeatedly complained that religious judges hold the real levers of power and do not allow him to usher in the civil liberties for which he was twice elected. Already in Afghanistan, Karzai's justice ministry has ceded formal control of the central prosecutor's office to the court [although article 134 of the new constitution prohibits this and states that the “Attorney's Office is part the Executive branch, and is independent in its performances.” But then again, so did article 103 of the 1964 constitution which was supposed to be in force until the new constitution was adopted], and a commission on judicial reform was dissolved after religious hard-liners obstructed it [to be resurrected in November 2002 in the form of the Judicial Reform Commission]. If Shinwari's vision of Afghanistan were realized, he and his colleagues on the bench would emerge as the country's most powerful political figures. And the U.S. should not expect much in the way of cooperation from them. Shinwari has already said that he will be lenient with those involved in Afghanistan's opium industry-a priority concern of the State Department-since, as he explained to the press, narcotics are not banned under Islamic law. Nor is it a good sign that he is given to referring to non-Muslims, even in public interviews, as "infidels."

* When two journalists, Mer-hossin Mahdawi and Ali Raza Payam, caused an uproar in some quarters in 2003 by publishing articles (in which one of them they asked: “If Islam is the last and most complete of the revealed religions, why do the Muslim countries lag behind the modern world?”) and a cartoon that were considered blasphemous towards Islam, they were arrested and a death sentence was suggested by the Supreme Court to its fatwa division, which agreed. After an international outcry Mr. Karzai ordered them temporarily released until the trial (even while he said he had ordered their arrest to “protect the constitution and the beliefs of the majority of the people"), during which time they escaped, fled to Pakistan, were recognised there and then applied for and were granted asylum in another country.

* Soon after Afghanistan’s new cabinet was announced in June 2002, Women's Affairs Minister Sima Samar allegedly told a Canadian magazine that she didn’t believe in Sharia (Islamic) law. Mr. Shinwari blew his top and accused her of speaking "against the Islamic nation of Afghanistan." Ms. Samar was formally charged with "blasphemy," which can carry the death penalty. She declined her new post and the charge was dropped under pressure from the United States.

* And recently when the maverick Presidential candidate Latif Pedram made remarks that were critical of the treatment of women under Islam, Mr. Shinwari tried to get him thrown off the ballot although the election board rejected the request.


Article 90 of the constitution states that the National Assembly (“the highest legislative organ”) will be responsible for “Ratification, modification, or abrogation of laws or legislative decrees.”

In addition:

Article 94

Law shall be what both Houses of the National Assembly approve and the President endorses, unless this Constitution states otherwise.

Article 95

The proposal for drafting laws shall be made by the Government or members of the National Assembly or, in the domain of regulating the judiciary, by the Supreme Court, through the Government.

Article 97

Proposals for drafting laws shall be first submitted to the House of the People [the lower house] by the government.

In other words, it is up to the government to pass laws, which can also receive formal suggestions from the Judicial Reform Commission, which was established on the 2nd of November 2002 (as required by the 2001 Bonn Agreement) and is proposed to continue until the end of this year. Its purpose, as the name implies, was to reform the shattered justice system.

In the latter half of December 2002 the Conference on Justice in Afghanistan, which was closed to the media, was held in Rome to discuss the rebuilding of Afghanistan’s justice system. A couple of days before, a discussion group was convened by the International Development Law Organization (IDLO), an intergovernmental organization funded by 11 western countries (including the United States), as well as various multilateral organizations and corporations. The IDLO described it as such:

On December 16-17 2002 the members of the new Afghan Judicial Commission, charged with the reform of Afghanistan’s legal institutions, together with many of the world’s leading experts in Islamic Law took part in a Roundtable, organized by IDLO in Rome on “The Role of Law in a Modern Afghanistan”. The President of the Supreme Court of Kabul, Almaj Mawlawy Fazal Shinwari, the Chief Public Prosecutor, Abdul Mahmood Daqeeq, and the Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs, Wahid Monawar, were among the participants of the two-day event. The results and recommendations of the Roundtable were presented later the same week at the Conference on Justice in Afghanistan, organized by the Italian Government, which was held in Rome on December 19 and 20 and inaugurated by President Hamid Karzai and the Italian Minister of Foreign Affairs, Franco Frattini.

The Associated Press reported the outcome:

Earlier in the week, Afghanistan's 11-member Judicial Commission, charged with reforming the judiciary, met with about 75 scholars and legal experts in Rome to draft a set of recommendations setting out top priorities. The conclusions of that meeting were that Islamic law has "all the elements that are really required to underpin a human rights agenda and a modern state agenda which are completely compatible with international standards," said William Loris, director-general of the International Development Law Organization, which trains lawyers and judges in developing countries. The Rome-based IDLO is advising the Judicial Commission on how to carry out the reforms.

All the elements, for the world. Judicial Reform Commission Chairman, Bahauddin Baha, was no doubt pleased with the outcome of the two-day meeting (Paknews, 30 November 2002):

The head of a new commission tasked with reforming Afghanistan's legal system said Thursday it will still be based on traditional Islamic law, which allows authorities to sever the hands of thieves and stone adulterers to death.

Commission Chairman Bahauddin Baha said Islamic law, or Sharia, cannot be changed.

"No commission will replace the rule of Islam. Our country is an Islamic country and we will implement Islamic law," he said.

He said those laws were still enforced in Afghanistan. However, no amputations or stonings have been reported since the hardline Taliban government was overthrown last year in a U.S.-led war.

Baha said such punishments were unlikely because the burden of proof required is so great that they would be difficult to implement.

"If you read the Quran very carefully, cutting off somebody's hand for theft ... it's very difficult to do," Baha said. "You need a lot of witnesses to verify if a crime actually occurred. It's possible, but it's not easy."

He called the Taliban's harsh interpretation of Sharia an aberration. "What the Taliban practiced was not Sharia law, it was something they made up themselves and it was not acceptable to the people and it was not acceptable to Islam," Baha said.

But it was always going to be this way. In September 2002, before an audience at the Council on Foreign Relations in New York, Mr. Karzai (who seems likely to retain his position as President after the October 9 presidential poll) was asked about Sharia law in Afghanistan:

President Karzai, we all welcome and are heartened by your affirmation that human rights and tolerance will return to Afghanistan under your leadership. But we also well aware of recent reports of the return of religious police to religious forms. A judicial commission which has indicated its support of Sharia Punishments. Corporal punishments. A chief justice who affirms that amputations will take place but only in private and no longer in public.

He replied:

All very relevant questions, ma'am. The religious police question. It is not a religious police. It is a preaching body. It's like missionaries. Religious elements who want to volunteer to preach spiritual over evil. And there are only 200 of them resistant. No more than that. And the man who was in charge of this who made somehow a statement that was not in keeping with the government's policy was dismissed the next day by the ministry without letting me know. So, when I called the minister to complain about his official, he said the man has been already dismissed. We're very careful about that.

The question of Sharia, ma'am, we are an Islamic country. When you ask a clergy of ... or a man who interprets jurisprudence in accordance with Islam as to what will be the punishment of a man that would steal? The book says cut off his hand. That's the straight answer. But that's not the circumstances in which he does that. It is extremely, extremely difficult in the real interpretation of Sharia to cut off somebody's hand. The hand-cutting part is only applicable, only applicable, if the society has been provided with all the means of work and earning and making a life. In the absence of that, you are not allowed to do that.

So, Afghanistan is not an ideal society for earning money. So, in Afghanistan it will not happen. I asked the chief justice about this when he made the statement. I have told him you have made the statement. This will probably cause a lot of concern. He said, "Yes. The media do not publish the explanation that I had, they only published my statement." So, I assure it will not happen. There are strict, strict rules of earning that kind of punishment. Very strict rules. Very strict rules.

But Ms. Shea of The Center for Religious Freedom (see above), who cited the talk Mr. Karzai gave, was not convinced:

But what if the new court were to dispense with the "strict rules"-as the old Taliban court did? Will critics of the court share Sima Samar's fate and be charged with blasphemy? One of the problems with extreme sharia is that it allows no room for checks on judicial power. Karzai probably knows better, but he is under strong pressure from an Islamist defense minister, Mohammed Fahim, and the still well-armed leaders of the Northern Alliance.

Iran provides a real-time demonstration of how and why extreme sharia law is difficult to reform, let alone remove. In early September, Hashem Aghajari, a leading voice in President Khatami's reformist movement, went on trial for "blasphemy" after giving a speech in which he called for reforms of the sharia system. He could now face the death penalty. Scores of other critics of sharia law have been flogged and jailed in Iran in recent months, and some 60 dissenting publications have been shut down.

The stoning to death of women found guilty of adultery under the Taliban (and, more recently, in Africa) has prompted outraged editorials in the West. But the more fundamental problem of extreme sharia-that its all- powerful judicial apparatus precludes democracy and sharply reduces human freedom across the board-has been all but overlooked. When asked about the development of penal sharia in Afghanistan, a senior State Department official told me recently that State was concerned about Karzai's security, not about sharia. They fail to realize that in a hard-line sharia state, with 7th-century laws and punishments, the supreme court is not merely another branch of government: It's where the real power resides. Countries where religious judges directly command the coercive powers of the state are de facto theocratic. No president or parliament can override their decisions, no politician or journalist can criticize them; to do so would be blasphemy.

Time will tell.

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05 October 2004 in Elections | Permalink | TrackBack (0)

All the President's Good Taliban Men

By L.F. Brown
3 October 2004


THE Afghan Government is in secret talks with senior Taliban figures to let them back into office only 2½ years after the US-led military campaign to remove them from power.

Mullah Wakil Ahmed Muttawakil, the former Taliban foreign minister, and his predecessor Mullah Ghous are among several top Taliban officials staying in government "safe houses" in Kabul during the negotiations.

Envoys of Hamid Karzai, Afghanistan's Western-backed President, have promised the former ministers posts in the Government after [the October 9 direct Presidential] elections in return for persuading some of their colleagues to lay down their arms and support his candidacy.

Afghans in peace talks with Taliban, The Sunday Times, 31 May 2004


Afghan President Hamid Karzai said he has been in touch with a senior Taliban official ahead of crucial polls in Afghanistan and will meet him "soon", reported Pakistani newspapers on Wednesday.

Karzai told Pakistani newspaper editors here at the end of his two-day visit on Tuesday that he was in contact with former Taliban foreign minister Wakeel Ahmed Mutawakil, reported the Dawn daily.

Karzai and Mutawakil, considered a moderate in the hardline regime, discussed ideas on how to strengthen peace in Afghanistan, said Dawn.

"I will have a meeting with him soon," Dawn quoted the Afghan president as telling the Pakistani journalists. He gave no date.

Karzai in touch with Taliban for peace in Afghanistan, Agence France-Press, 25 August 2004


"There's no such thing as good Taliban and bad Taliban."

Dr. Abdullah, Foreign Minister of Afghanistan, 2003


When reports first came out that a former top Taliban official, Wakil Ahmad Mutawakil, had been released from custody in the first week of October 2003 from the Bagram air base north of Kabul, it seemed to take Afghanistan’s President Hamid Karzai by surprise (BBC, 8 October 2003):

Mr Mutawakil's uncle had claimed the former foreign minister was now free in the southern city of Kandahar, apparently confirming an earlier Afghan foreign ministry report [that said he had been released after helping arrange talks between US forces and the Taliban in Kandahar].

However, Mr Karzai told reporters at the presidential palace: "This is not true, this is absolutely not true, he has not been released."

The US special envoy to Afghanistan, Zalmay Khalilzad, standing next to Mr Karzai, added: "We have not released him yet."


It would take about another two weeks before Mr. Karzai confirmed the news on the 21st, but not before a spokesman of his, Jawid Ludin, got into a little spot of confusion himself (BBC, 21 October 2003):

On Tuesday [the 21st] a spokesman for President Karzai, Jawid Ludin, seemed unsure himself as to Mr Mutawakil's whereabouts. "I have no accurate information," he told the BBC Persian service. On Monday Mr Ludin appeared to confirm earlier reports saying that Mr Mutawakil had been released from detention at the US airbase at Bagram, near Kabul. But he has now told the BBC that: "So far as we understand he is still under arrest and not yet released." "I don't know if he is in Kandahar or Bagram," Mr Ludin said.


Although (Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty, 21 October 2003):

Also today [the 21st], former Taliban Foreign Minister Wakil Ahmed Mutawakil said he and other former Taliban officials are willing to give their support to the government of Hamid Karzai.

Jawed Ludin, a spokesman for Karzai, said Mutawakil sent a letter to Karzai from his home in Kandahar making the offer.


His release (now said to have been on the 15th) and offer were confirmed on the 25th by Khalid Pashtun, spokesman for Kandahar Governor Mohammed Yusuf Pashtun (CNN, 25 October 2003):

"We have invited other Taliban also who have been released from custody to come together and join hands, and participate in the reconstruction and rehabilitation of the country," Pashtun told The Associated Press.

The spokesman said Muttawakil would be able to participate in nationwide elections set for next year, the first since the Taliban were forced from power by a U.S.-led coalition in late 2001.

President Hamid Karzai's spokesman Jawid Luddin said Thursday that the government was considering whether to accept an offer of aid from Muttawakil but would do so only if it was determined that Muttawakil wasn't directly involved in terrorist acts or crimes against the Afghan people.

Muttawakil is believed to have been a moderate member of the hard-line Taliban movement and had previously been held by the U.S. military at its main base in Bagram, north of the capital, Kabul.


Adding to the confusion were reports in the media that there had been a meeting between Mr. Mutawakil and US Deputy Secretary of State Richard Armitage during the latter's visit to Afghanistan (this before Mr. Mutawakil was reported to have been released), although these were denied.

It all began when...


Talk of reaching out to the “moderate” Taliban began in October 2001. The idea was to divide the Taliban movement and then co-opt those who weren’t considered to be hardline, ostensibly those not allied with the Taliban leader, Mullah Mohammad Omar. This campaign was led by the Taliban’s immediate patron in the region, Pakistan, as well as the leader of the coalition to oust the Taliban, the United States (San Francisco Chronicle, 17 October 2001):

The United States and Pakistan agreed yesterday to work urgently for the creation of a new, broad-based government in Afghanistan that both sides said could include moderate elements of the Taliban movement, whose present leadership is now a target for the U.S.-led military campaign.


India was not pleased, while the reaction from the Northern Alliance was mixed, with their political leader and former Afghan President, Burhanuddin Rabbani endorsing the call, while their foreign minister, Dr. Abdullah, denounced the plan and the very existence of moderate Taliban (San Francisco Chronicle, 17 October 2001):

"There is no such thing as moderate Taliban elements. Their object is terror and fanaticism. So who would expect us to join such a government with such people? This is against the objective of the international alliance against terrorism."

The Moderate


If the criteria for endorsement were based on no longer being associated with Mr. Omar, then it can’t be seen as too much of a surprise that Mr. Mutawakil was enlisted (although apparently he wanted to be given shelter in Qatar). He defected from the main Taliban group reportedly because of a disagreement with Mr. Omar over the harbouring of Osama bin Laden just before the US invaded, before surrendering to US forces a few months later in Kandahar. But then again, he chose to have a disagreement with Mr. Omar as military action against his regime was already on its way and not before or even a little after President Clinton issued Executive Order 13129 of July 4, 1999:

I, WILLIAM J. CLINTON, President of the United States of America, find that the actions and policies of the Taliban in Afghanistan, in allowing territory under its control in Afghanistan to be used as a safe haven and base of operations for Usama bin Ladin and the Al-Qaida organization who have committed and threaten to continue to commit acts of violence against the United States and its nationals, constitute an unusual and extraordinary threat to the national security and foreign policy of the United States, and hereby declare a national emergency to deal with that threat.

That he used to be a spokesman and personal secretary to Mr. Omar as well as the second-highest ranking official in the Taliban's Supreme Council raises serious questions about how "moderate" he really can be.

When the documentary “Beneath the Veil” was first screened in June 2001, “the more respectable face” of the Taliban proved to be more of the same:

MOTAWAKIL (through translator): The football stadium is a place of leisure, a place for playing games, a place for joy. When justice is done on behalf of a victim, that too is a joyful event, which brings order and security to society.

SHAH (on camera): But the international community paid for the football stadium. They wanted the Afghan people to play football there. Instead, you are executing people there.

MOTAWAKIL (through translator): I will make the international community an offer. In Afghanistan, everything has been destroyed. If they help us to build a separate place suitable for carrying out executions, we have no problem with that. When they criticize us 10 times, they should at least help us once. They should build a place for executions and get financial support so that football could be played at the stadium and our work can be done as well.

And while it has been reported that he opposed the destruction of the Buddhist statues in 2001, he publicly defended the plans.

It has been said that Mr. Mutawakil was "never a commander" and "never had armed men of his own" which would fit Mr. Karzai's spokesman's criteria of, directly at least, not being one of "those Taliban whose hands were polluted with people’s blood and they are not known criminals (even though thousands of ex-Taliban soldiers had already been recruited into the Afghan army by January 2002).

But this is hard to square away with Mr. Karzai's statement that (Associated Press, 25 April 2004):

"Our problem is mainly with the top Taliban -- who may number no more than 150 people -- who had links with al Qaeda. Those people are the enemies of Afghanistan and we are against them. But those Taliban who are doing jobs and tilling the fields and working as shopkeepers, we want to welcome those Taliban."

A broad-based government


Karzai said he wants Afghan clerics to be in parliament like Pakistans pro-Taliban Islamist leader Maulana Fazlur Rehman, from the Pakistans six-party Islamist alliance which swept to victory in North West Frontier Province and holds the balance of power in the federal parliament.

"I want our Taliban and our mullahs (clerics) to come and do the same," Dawn quoted Karzai saying.

"It is really unfair that the mullahs of our neighbours are getting voted (in) and our mullahs are getting blown up and are killing themselves and having a miserable life.

"They should also enjoy a good life, as others are doing."

Karzai in touch with Taliban for peace in Afghanistan, Agence France-Press, 25 August 2004


"We want everyone to come back and learn from their mistakes," said Arif Noorzai, Minister for Frontier and Tribal Affairs.

"Excluding these people has only created problems. The idea is to have a broad-based government in which these forces can participate so they can't be used by other countries or interests."

Afghans in peace talks with Taliban, The Sunday Times, 31 May 2004

Afghanistan is in a precarious situation. While the number of Taliban members engaged in fighting is estimated to be in the thousands (and less than 10,000) the movement still has wide support from the Pashtun people who make up 40% of Afghanistan's population. Whether the "reformed" ex-Taliban leaders will be able to attract support from the Taliban faithful is uncertain. Mr. Omah was reported to have immediately "disowned" Mr. Mutawakil upon hearing of the news, although his ex-communication probably occurred a few years ago upon his defection. Within the Taliban, Mr. Omah's voice is generally undisputed. Defections from the Taliban were a lot easier a few years ago when the threat and actuality of superior firepower, particularly from the air, on the part of the United States came into play. But a resurgent Taliban, engaged in guerrilla warfare, are proving a lot tougher to deal with. And while a chequebook being waved around may prove handy for recruiting those more malleable Taliban sympathisers in a country where it is said that you cannot buy an Afghan but can rent him, loyalties can easily be switched.

It is somewhat troubling that while the stated purpose of Mr. Karzai and the United States to have an Afghanistan free of the Taliban organisation in power, former leaders such as Mr. Mutawakil, the former health minister Mullah Ghous and the former intelligence minister Mullah Mohammad Khaksar are being recruited for government posts, not to mention positive referrals being made by Mr. Karzai towards the Pro-Taliban Islamist in Pakistan, Maulana Fazlur Rehman. What short-term gains might be made in drawing these "forces" away from other "interests" or "countries" could easily be overtaken in the medium- to long-term by the bad example this sets.

And this all surely raises the point that if there are indeed moderate Taliban "who are doing jobs and tilling the fields and working as shopkeepers," surely, at best, they are the only ones who should be recruited, so that further "mistakes" will not have to be unlearned in the future.

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03 October 2004 in Elections | Permalink | TrackBack (0)

Anti-trust in Lithuania

By L.F. Brown
23 September 2004


"This election, ladies and gentlemen, will be about trust."

John Howard on 29 August 2004, opening the Australian federal election campaign.


"So I say we need trust in government. We need a government that comes clean under all circumstances of the Australian people. We teach our children to tell the truth. We need a government that is willing to do the same, for the benefit of the Australian people."

Mark Latham on 29 August 2004, the first day of the Australian federal election campaign.


Q: Please tell me how much you trust your national government to operate in the best interests of our society. Would you say you tend to trust, or tend not to trust?

A: Australia

Trust 64%
Not Trust 35%

GlobeScan / Program on International Policy Attitudes, 30 June 2004


The reputation of the Seimas has suffered a steep decline due to recent corruption scandals. In a recent poll, only 16% of Lithuanians expressed trust in the Seimas.

CNN Election Watch on the upcoming Lithuanian Parliamentary election

Under normal circumstances there is one certainty about elections: no matter which political party wins or loses power, parliament will still be around. And from parliament can a national government be formed. Which is okay for most Australians on the 9th of October who trust the process and institution enough. But pity most Lithuanians a day later when they come to vote for their new parliament for the next four years, the Seimas.

Lithuanians haven't had that many reasons for trusting anyone throughout their history. At the end of the 18th century the Russians occupied them, persecuting Catholics and suppressing the Lithuanian's language. The First World War saw it occupied by the Germans. She gained independence for the next two decades, albeit with Poland occupying its capital, Vilnius, for most of the time. With the Molotov-Ribbentrop non-aggression pact being signed between Nazi Germany and the Soviet Union in 1939, Lithuania was handed over to the Nazis. After refusing to join in the attack on Poland, it was handed over to the Soviets in 1940 and in came the Soviet military, with communists taking power of the government. Caught in the middle between two monstrous powers, Lithuania was invaded by the Nazis in 1941 where her Jews, amongst others, were slaughtered. In 1944 back came the Soviets and kept the heel firmly on her neck until Lithuania became the first Baltic State to declare independence from the Soviet Union in March 1990, a decision which the Soviets predictably tried to suppress with an economic blockade and troops being deployed, until September 1991 when she was granted independence by the Soviet government. Still, Russian troops remained on Lithuania's soil and it would take an agreement in September 1992 for the troops to leave by August 1993, which they were to do. (The ultimate affirmation of Lithuania's secession from the Russians came when they joined NATO in March of this year, followed by membership of the EU in May.)

Lithuania (population 3.6 million; GDP per capita of $11,200 - purchasing power parity), surrounded by Poland, Belarus, Latvia, Kaliningrad (the Russian enclave) and the Baltic Sea, has had interesting times since she gained her latest independence. Algirdas Brazauskas, now Prime Minister, became Lithuania's first president in 1993 and resigned as leader of the Lithuanian Democratic Labor Party (now the Lithuanian Social Democratic Party), the party which broke away from the Communist Party of the Soviet Union. He stayed in power until 1998, after not seeking re-election. Instead he bided his time until July 2001 when he became Prime Minister. He appointed the economist Adolfas Slezevicius as Prime Minister in 1993, who began to implement economic and political reforms away from the former policies of the Soviet Union. He was succeeded in 1996 by Laurynas Mindaugas Stankevicius, also from the Democratic Labor Party, who then was replaced by Gediminas Vagnoriusa of the conservative Homeland Union (which grew out of the "movement for independence" the Lithuanian Movement for Restructuring or Sajudis), until 1999.

If you think the names are complicated enough, national politics, with its inordinate amount of parliamentary factions, will turn you into Linda Blair. Lithuania has a unicameral system of parliament (one house, as opposed to Australia's bicameral system of a Senate or upper house) with the Seimas consisting of 141 members, with 71 of them being elected in single seat constituencies and the other 70 on a proportional representation basis (that is, if the party gains 5% of the vote). The head of state is the President, currently Valdas Adamkus, who holds office for a five year term based on a popular vote, with a maximum of two terms allowable. The President chooses the Prime Minister subject to the approval of the Seimas, can dismiss the Prime Minister, accept resignations from Ministers and the Government, as well as appoint Ministers subject to the recommendations of the Prime Minister. He or she appoints the head of the army and secret service, has quite a large say in the composition of the judicial branch and represents Lithuania internationally. The Government is the executive power and decides on the policies and programs of the country, implements the law, prepares the budget, as well as ensuring the safety of the nation and constitution, subject to approval of the Seimas. As the polls stand now, the newly formed Labor Party, led by Belarus-born Victor Uspaskich, is way ahead, with the contest for coalitions firmly underway.

The record of Lithuania's economy has been mixed, as is its form. While not much was heard about her economy during the 1990s, in 1998 the economy tanked after the Russian economic meltdown but managed, during the ushering in of the new millennium, to recover, thanks to increased foreign investment and cuts in government spending. Lithuania joined the WTO in 2001. A real growth rate of 6.7% put it at the top of the economic pile in Europe in 2002 and the stats have continued to be positive. While it led the other two Baltic states in growth rates, the Baltic Tigers still have some way to go to even come close to catching the EU in economic terms, with per capital incomes around one-fifth the level of their new mother.

A controversial aspect of Lithuania's political system has been the privatising of former state industries, with 80% of them now having been sold off, with many deals being botched. The biggest sale was in 1999 of 33% of Mazeikiu Naftu, which operated the Mazeikiai oil refinery, to the American company Williams, which gained management control and the right to buy a majority stake in the company within five years. (In 2002, Yukos, a Russian oil company acquired a controlling interest in Mazeikiu Nafta and became the operator of the refinery.)

Then Prime Minister Rolandas Paksas, who began his tenure in May 1999, resigned in October 1999 over the deal, which he said was unfavourable. In November 2000 he again became Prime Minister using the outrage over the deal to propel him into power. He was to lose power in June 2001. In March 2002 he became chairman of the new Liberal Democratic Party and was elected in January 2003 as President, beating out incumbent Valdus Adamkus (the current President). In January 2004, impeachment proceedings by the parliament were brought against Paksas for corruption (which is widespread in Lithuanian life), as well as allegations that he had close links to the Russian secret service and Russian mafia. In March 2004, the Constitutional Court of Lithuania found him guilty of violating the Lithuanian Constitution: for leaking state secrets, rewarding a financial supporter with citizenship and illegally influencing companies. Ironically, another controversial privatisation deal, this time over an alcohol company, led to his ultimate demise. The Lithuanian company underbid a Latvian competitor and was charged with getting leaks from the office of Paksas.

The Seimas chucked him out in April 2004. He tried to run for the June 2004 elections for President but this was scuppered by the Seimas bringing in a law in May 2004 preventing impeached presidents from running for 5 years; the Constitutional Court then banned him for life. Undeterred, his supporters registered a coalition for the general elections, promising to have a referendum amending the constitution to bring him back. He then informed reporters that the number eight position of the coalition on the ballot would get them 50 seats for “numerological reasons,” because “everyone knows that eight is an auspicious number.” This barking at the moon behaviour was not atypical for Paksas who has been accused in the past of being unduly under the influence of a Rasputin-life faith healer and mystic, Lena Lolisvili, who it is alleged candidates had to meet before going to Paksas, a scenario that didn't go down too well in this Catholic country.

So former parliamentarian and leader Paksas is gone, for now. And perhaps this election will be the start of new things to come. But then again, maybe not, if this recent dispatch from the Baltic Times is any indication:

22.09.2004

Police chief: Kaunas mafia bosses eyeing parliamentary seats

By Milda Seputyte


VILNIUS - Another foray in the fight against corruption and the criminal underworld has apparently started off on a wrong foot again after police commissioner General Vytautas Grigaravicius announced on Sept. 20 that the Kaunas mob was trying to implant some of its people in the Parliament.

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22 September 2004 in Elections | Permalink | TrackBack (0)

The Cooks and too little broth

By L.F. Brown
15 September 2004

The Australian Labor Party’s education policy is a sop to the Catholic vote. Yawn. Different election, same angle.

A Model D IBM typewriter could have reproduced the memos about George W. Bush in the 1970s. Zzzzzzzzzz.

Contact with the Cook Islands’ only patrol boat that has been collecting ballots in the northern islands has been lost for three days. I wiped the drool off my keyboard.

The news report, from Thursday the 14th, added that boats went out of radio contact all the time in the northern areas and that authorities thus didn’t fear it was missing. A day later it was still missing, with the Democratic Party ready to claim victory in the national elections within 24 hours. And then a few hours ago they did, with fourteen of the seats, versus the opposition Cook Islands Party’s nine seats, with a split vote on the northern island of Rakahanga.

The results should have been in on Wednesday the 9th when the five-yearly elections (now to be every four years thanks to the overwhelming referendum vote on the same day) were held for the 25-member Cook Islands’ lower house of parliament, 24 of them representing those on the island and one for those living outside of the Cook Islands. Which is quite a few members considering that there were 9,700 registered voters for the poll, with the total resident population coming in at approximately 13,400 people. This may be one of the reasons why a lot of voter dissatisfaction was reported before the election, but nothing which a bit of pork couldn’t help solve, sometimes even literally, with pigs being dished out for family events.

As for the big seats in this group of islands situated about half way between Hawaii and New Zealand, Prime Minister Dr Robert Woonton of the Democratic Party beat out the opposition Cook Islands Party President Henry Puna for his Manihiki seat by four votes, with the final tally being 142-138 after being 15 votes behind at one stage. It is not clear though that he will be elected Prime Minister by the parliament, with former PM and Democratic Party leader Dr Tereapai Maoate in the running to oust him after he himself was ousted in 2002. Using a Westminster-style system, the Prime Minister is chosen by the majority party.

The controversial former cabinet minister Norman George, who recently formed the Tumu Enua Party and held the balance of power (and has also been unfavourably compared to New Zealand rabblerouser Winston Peters), lost his seat to the Democratic Party’s Eugene Tatuava by 67 to 73 votes. He cried foul, claiming that ballot boxes had been tampered with. Maybe he can take it up with election observers who were present, who recommended to the government that the electoral office be computerised.

Where the money would come from is another story. The Cook Islands, which became “self-governing in association with New Zealand” in August 1965 after it was earlier made a protectorate in 1888 by the British, is a country in decline, as evidenced by the departure of its citizens overseas, mainly to New Zealand where they are also eligible for New Zealand citizenship. The ratio of those Cook Islanders who live outside of it compared to inside is three to one. Infrastructure is weak. And although it has some sort of agricultural industry with citrus and copra (from coconuts) products, along with tourism, manufacturing (fruit-processing, clothing, and handicrafts) and black pearl production, it still relies on millions of dollars of aid from New Zealand (although it also gets aid from Australia as well as being a recent recipient of $NZ4 million from China for recognising Beijing’s “ownership of Taiwan.”) Another boat would also be good.

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15 September 2004 in Elections | Permalink | TrackBack (0)

Kazakhstan overboard

By L.F. Brown
8 September 2004

Australia’s opposition Labor leader Mark Latham would have a tough time in Kazakhstani politics. An opposition leader was once convicted in 1999 of “insulting the honour and dignity of the President” at a rally and sentenced to a year in jail. Liberal Senator George Brandis would also have probably been sent to be with the rodents as well. If Labor ex-star Peter Garrett ever got into the ruling party there he would certainly be well-briefed about the issues before any television appearances if he knew what was good for him, as the President holds the trump cards in all matters, including that of policy. There would be no speculation over when Liberal Prime Minister John Howard would hand over the top job if he was to win the October 9 poll (and not to mention receiving a mauling over the children overboard affair). Kazakhstan's President Nursultan Nazarbayev has already signalled that he would seek re-election in 2006 for another seven-year term after a number of heavily criticised elections, as well as a referendum extending Presidential terms from five years to seven.

There are probably less rifts between his speculated successor than between John Howard and Peter Costello. His daughter, Dariga Nazarbayeva, is running in the upcoming parliamentary elections where she is doing quite well in the polls, even eclipsing her father's party. The elections are scheduled for September 19 and will be attended by Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe observers, who have expressed their dissatisfaction in the past and who some probably think should again. Apparently if she wins the elections she will become Speaker of parliament, which puts her second in line in case her old man steps down or falls down sick. Her party, Asar, somewhat appropriately translates as “together.” Not content with being a Doctor of Political Science, she also happens to be the Chairman of the Board of the state-owned news service Khabar, but has stepped down at “her own initiative” for the run up to the election for the Majilis or lower house. I’m sure that they have not quite been as kind to her during the campaign as they were after a charity concert a few years back, when they said that she, also a successful opera singer, had a “a strong and beautiful mezzo-soprano,” so much so that all “the sins of the world dissolved into it, including spite, envy, cruelty, and slander.”

Greens Senator Bob Brown would certainly blow his fuse over their nuclear plants and nuclear waste. And while quite a few Australians, including deputy PM John Anderson, see communists on the rise in the form of the Greens, their influence in Kazakhstan seems to be minimal. As for the Australian Democrats: who cares?

Kazakhstan, a secularly run Central Asian country bordering on Russia, China, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan, gained independence in the early 1990s after the evil empire crumbled. It has the 9th largest landmass in the world (Australia has the 6th largest) and a population of around 15 million people (compared to Australia’s 20 million), along with a ton of oil. While moving away from communist economic policies, with poverty rates falling, it still has the government’s iron grip on the throat of its people. Allegations of corruption, torture harassment of opposition parties, the trafficking of women and children as well as suppression of the press are nearly as abundant as pink Englishmen on Bondi beach, although less so than in respect of other countries in the region.

Away from Kazakhstani soil, they sent troops to Iraq, which isn’t too surprising as the United States has been a strong supporter of Kazakhstan since independence, including military training and exercises, economic aid and trade.

Regionally, Kazakhstan has tried to keep up relations with Russia and China. Terrorism is a top issue, particularly in light of the allegations that some of the terrorists involved in the Breslan massacre were from Kazakhstan, as well as the recent suicide bombings in neighbouring Uzbekistan whose participants were said to have a base in southern Kazakhstan.

Despite promises that the elections would be held according to international standards and some recent relatively good press during the build up to the elections, for an authoritarian regime that is, it remains to be seen what kind of effect the fall-out from the continuing “Kazakhgate” affair, involving the acceptance by government officials of big brown paper bags from oil companies, will have on the elections and strongman Nazarbayev's already tarnished image. Did I say there was an election in Australia?

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08 September 2004 in Elections | Permalink | TrackBack (0)

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